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Why We Don’t Make Forecasts
April 4, 2018
How many times did the Wall Street consensus predict a market drop? "A spectacular zero."
March 25, 2018
Normal is the market going up and down in a manner that can be unnerving over short-term periods.
February 2, 2016
Unfortunately, research suggests that the wizards of Wall Street often have about as much predictive power as the Wizard of Oz and as much success in predicting the future as groundhogs.
June 10, 2015
The best ideas often from keep-it-simple “rock science”, not rocket science.
No Crystal Balls – Just Peace Of Mind
May 15, 2015
Market prognosticators are never in doubt, but often wrong.
If We Had A Chief Economist We Would Have to Pay Them
April 4, 2015
And if we paid someone, we'd be compelled to listen to them.